Kalshi Traders Expect April Jobs Report to Beat Consensus Estimates

Story Summary
Prediction market traders on Kalshi anticipate the April nonfarm payroll report will exceed economist forecasts, assigning a 50% probability of 66,000+ jobs added versus a Dow Jones consensus of 53,000. While an 81% chance exists for positive growth marking the first back-to-back increase since May 2025, skepticism remains regarding a major surge, with only a 30% likelihood of gains reaching 100,000.





